IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.7	#111
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.4	#244
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.8	#94

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.9	#133

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	0.7%	0.9%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.8%	10.7%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	5.9%	7.4%	2.2%
Average Seed	10.3	10.1	11.0

.500 or above	67.3%	75.2%	48.7%
.500 or above in Conference	57.4%	62.5%	45.3%
Conference Champion	2.9%	3.5%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	4.4%	3.3%	7.1%

First Four	2.9%	3.5%	1.4%
First Round	7.3%	9.0%	3.4%
Second Round	2.9%	3.7%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.9%	1.2%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 70.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 2	2 - 4	3 - 8
Quad 3	6 - 4	9 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	143	Princeton	W	72-66	70%
Nov 11, 2019	144	Yale	W	79-73	70%
Nov 16, 2019	207	@ Southern Illinois	W	70-66	62%
Nov 19, 2019	197	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	72-63	79%
Nov 23, 2019	186	Sam Houston St.	W	75-66	78%
Nov 26, 2019	245	Hampton	W	82-71	85%
Nov 30, 2019	183	@ Hawaii	W	71-68	59%
Dec 03, 2019	65	Arizona St.	L	76-77	45%
Dec 04, 2019	166	California	W	74-67	72%
Dec 14, 2019	213	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	74-70	63%
Dec 17, 2019	113	@ Stanford	L	71-74	40%
Dec 21, 2019	266	UC Davis	W	74-61	86%
Dec 23, 2019	118	@ Fresno St.	L	69-72	42%
Dec 30, 2019	69	Harvard	L	71-72	46%
Jan 02, 2020	19	St. Mary's	L	63-70	28%
Jan 04, 2020	285	@ Portland	W	74-66	74%
Jan 09, 2020	128	Santa Clara	W	72-67	65%
Jan 11, 2020	247	@ Pacific	W	70-65	67%
Jan 18, 2020	149	Loyola Marymount	W	68-62	69%
Jan 23, 2020	19	@ St. Mary's	L	60-73	15%
Jan 25, 2020	67	BYU	L	77-78	46%
Jan 30, 2020	164	@ San Diego	W	69-68	53%
Feb 01, 2020	8	Gonzaga	L	71-81	20%
Feb 06, 2020	247	Pacific	W	73-62	83%
Feb 08, 2020	67	@ BYU	L	74-81	27%
Feb 13, 2020	128	@ Santa Clara	L	69-70	45%
Feb 20, 2020	8	@ Gonzaga	L	68-84	9%
Feb 22, 2020	117	Pepperdine	W	78-75	61%
Feb 27, 2020	285	Portland	W	77-63	87%
Feb 29, 2020	149	@ Loyola Marymount	L	65-66	50%
Projected Record						17 - 13	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.1		2.9	1st
2nd										0.1	0.7	2.4	3.0	1.6	0.3				8.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	2.2	5.7	5.0	1.5	0.1					14.7	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	3.4	7.2	4.8	0.9	0.0						16.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.5	4.1	7.3	3.8	0.6	0.0							16.3	5th
6th					0.0	0.4	4.1	6.5	3.0	0.3	0.0								14.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.5	3.3	5.2	2.1	0.2	0.0									11.3	7th
8th			0.0	0.5	2.7	3.7	1.5	0.1	0.0										8.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	1.6	2.0	0.7	0.0												4.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0													2.2	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.3	2.9	5.3	8.1	11.3	13.2	14.1	13.6	11.8	8.4	5.1	2.9	1.1	0.3	0.1			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.2	0.0
14-2	76.9%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.0
13-3	39.4%	1.1		0.4	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-4	10.0%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
11-5	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0				0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.3	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		91.0%	41.3%	49.7%	2.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										0.0		84.6%
15-1	0.3%		90.1%	41.1%	49.0%	6.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		83.1%
14-2	1.1%		83.9%	25.6%	58.3%	7.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2		78.4%
13-3	2.9%		61.1%	15.1%	46.0%	9.3				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.1		54.2%
12-4	5.1%		42.0%	11.9%	30.1%	10.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.0	0.0			3.0		34.2%
11-5	8.4%		19.5%	6.0%	13.5%	11.1								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1				6.7		14.4%
10-6	11.8%		9.3%	4.3%	5.0%	11.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0			10.7		5.2%
9-7	13.6%		3.5%	1.8%	1.7%	11.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		13.1		1.8%
8-8	14.1%		1.5%	1.1%	0.3%	12.1											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		13.9		0.4%
7-9	13.2%		0.7%	0.6%	0.0%	12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			13.1		0.0%
6-10	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.3
5-11	8.1%		0.5%	0.5%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		8.1
4-12	5.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
3-13	2.9%		0.3%	0.3%		14.1															0.0	0.0		2.9
2-14	1.3%																							1.3
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.8%	3.1%	5.7%	10.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.2	2.5	2.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	91.2		5.9%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	2.5		48.3	51.7